The Cyclic Rise and Fall in Population Size that has been Observed GMAT Reading Comprehension

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Reading Passage Question:

The cyclic rise and fall in population size that has been observed in animal and premodern human populations reflects sequential phases of population growth and decline. Disregarding the possible selective influences of migration, these cyclic movements must ultimately be accounted for in terms of the range of variation in fertility and mortality.

No downward trend in mortality is apparent in any country before the middle of the eighteenth century, about the same time that population growth began to demonstrate an exponential curve. The initial period of sustained population growth in nearly every country for which reliable data are available corresponds with at least two decisive changes in the death rate. First, the fluctuations in mortality became less frequent and less drastic. Second, the initial, slow--sometimes imperceptible--decline in mortality gradually gained momentum and eventually stabilized at relatively low levels in the twentieth century. Thus, steady increases in life expectancy, progressively diminishing death rates and more stable and predictable mortality patterns have accompanied the persistent increments in world population.

In England and Wales, Japan, Ceylon and Chile an exponential pattern of population growth has accompanied the downward trend in mortality. In England and Wales, where the transition from high to low vital rates occurred over two centuries, the exponential growth curve was attenuated only after fertility fell and approached the low level of mortality; this pattern was less apparent for Japan, where an accelerated transition occurred over several decades. Although data concerning the relative effects of mortality and fertility on population growth are incomplete for the early transitional period, it seems likely that a significant though temporary increase in fertility may have added momentum to the population explosion set off by steady improvements in survivorship. The influence of fertility is particularly apparent in the rapid population growth of currently developing nations that have not yet completed their transitions, for example, Chile and Ceylon. In most of these developing countries, the death rate has declined rapidly in recent years, especially since World War II, and the birth rate has remained high with minor fluctuations. This sudden widening of the demographic gap has produced unprecedented high rates of population growth.

‘The cyclic rise and fall in population size that has been observed’’ is a GMAT reading comprehension passage with answers. Candidates need a strong knowledge of English GMAT reading comprehension.

This GMAT Reading Comprehension consists of 7 comprehension questions.

The GMAT Reading Comprehension questions are designed for the purpose of testing candidates’ abilities in understanding, analyzing, and applying information or concepts. Candidates can actively prepare with the help of GMAT Reading Comprehension Practice Questions.

Questions and Solutions

  1. Which of the following best describes the content of the passage?

(A) A discussion of how recently developed methods of monitoring population growth differ from older methods
(B) A description of some of the factors affecting cyclic changes in population
(C) A chronology of the development of different methods for monitoring population growth
(D) A proposal for improving the accuracy of current methods to monitor fluctuations in population.
(E) An argument concerning the nature of the exponential pattern of population growth has accompanied the downward trend in mortality

Answer: B
Explanation:
In paragraphs 2 and 3, the passage describes the variables influencing cycle changes. It also provides specific instances and proof of how these elements affect population changes. Hence, B is correct. The rest of the options are out of scope of the passage.

  1. According to the passage, the fertility rate

(A) in Japan has remained constant over the last several decades
(B) in England and Wales has remained constant over the last two centuries
(C) fell at a similar rate in England, Wales and Japan
(D) fell at a faster rate in Japan than in England and Wales
(E) fell at a slower rate in Japan than in England and Wales

Answer: D
Explanation:
Even though Wales and England both saw a decline in the past 200 years, we are unsure if their rates were comparable. Their starting and final fertility rates are unknown. Additionally, Japan underwent this shift far more quickly over a number of decades. This means that its rates decreased much more quickly than those of England and Wales. The latter took 200 years to reach low levels compared to Japan's hasty a few decades. So, the right response is D.

  1. According to the passage, population increase in currently developing nations is a result of

(A) the recent decline in death rate, especially over the last 50 years, and a birth rate that is consistently high with minor fluctuations.
(B) the recent decline in birth rate, especially over the last 50 years, and a death rate that is consistently high with minor fluctuations.
(C) the recent decline in death rate, especially over the last 150 years, and a birth rate that is consistently high with minor fluctuations.
(D) the recent decline in birth rate, especially over the last 150 years, and a death rate that is consistently high with minor fluctuations.
(E) the recent rise in death rate, especially over the last 50 years, accompanied by a similar rise in birth rate.

Answer: A
Explanation:
The death rate has decreased significantly in recent years, especially following World War II, in most of these developing countries. These include Chile and Ceylon. However, as per the passage, the birth rate has stayed high with only small changes. Therefore, option A is the proper response.

  1. It can be inferred from the passage that the first downward mortality trend

(A) followed great fluctuations in fertility rates
(B) followed great fluctuations in death rates
(C) appeared after World War II
(D) appeared before World War II
(E) appeared around 1750

Answer: E
Explanation:
After 1800, reliable data indicated that a decline in mortality rate was due to sustained gains in life expectancy. Persistent growth in the global population has been accompanied with steadily declining death rates and predictable mortality patterns. Therefore, E is the right response.

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