Brunhilda: Economists have Predicted that Our Generation will be the First that cannot Confidently Look Forward to Having a Better Standard of Living than that Enjoyed by Our Parents.

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Question: Brunhilda: Economists have predicted that our generation will be the first that cannot confidently look forward to having a better standard of living than that enjoyed by our parents.

Siegfried: That's simply untrue. My father's standard of living is nowhere near as high as his parents' was, and my own standard of living is already higher than that of my parents.

Which of the following best describes the error of reasoning contained in Siegfried's argument above?

  1. It relies upon an unreasonable appeal to authority.
  2. It assumes the truth of what it sets out to prove.
  3. It offers an example that is not inconsistent with Brunhilda's argument.
  4. It is based on unproven speculation about future events.
  5. It uses evidence of a correlation to argue the existence of a causal relationship.

“Brunhilda: Economists have predicted that our generation will be the first that cannot confidently look forward to having a better standard of living than that enjoyed by our parents.”- this is a GMAT Critical question. This particular GMAT Critical Reasoning topic has been taken from the book ‘Manhattan Prep GMAT Critical Reasoning’. In this particular topic, candidates need to choose the option that best suits the passage. GMAT critical reasoning tests the logical and analytical skills of the candidates. Critical reasoning in GMAT requires candidates to find the strengths and weaknesses of the argument, or find the logical flaw in the argument.  The GMAT CR section contains 10 -13 GMAT critical reasoning questions out of 36 GMAT verbal questions.

Answer: A

Explanation: This GMAT critical reasoning uses one of the most common fallacies "Appeal to authority"

The form of fallacy is:
A is an authority/expert on subject X
A makes claim Y about subject X

Therefore, Y is true.

Now, we will see how this applies to our problem statement:

Let us paraphrase a bit to make the question follow the fallacy above:

Brunhilda: Economists have predicted that our generation will be the first that cannot confidently look forward to having a better standard of living than that enjoyed by our parents.

Siegfried: [From his experiences] My father's standard of living is nowhere near as high as his parents' was, and my own standard of living is already higher than that of my parents.

This means Siegfried says that Brunhilda’s point is simply untrue.

In the question:
Siegfried assumes his own experience is comprehensive enough ==> He is an expert /authority of this matter from the experience ==> His conclusion must be true.

This is a very common error that we make when we hear someone says:
The scientists say that..…
I have a book that says...…
I saw it on TV/ newspaper......…
From my own experience, I think....

Immediately, we should think about the fallacy "appeal to authority". We should ask the questions like:
Do scientists have expertise on this matter ?
Is book believable ?
Is the TV channel/ newspaper biased or not?
Your own experience comprehensive enough?
etc.......

Now, we will focus on analyzing each answer.

  1. It relies upon an unreasonable appeal to authority.
    - This is Correct. As stated above, this relies on an unreasonable appeal. His appeal is based on his own experience and the family background. Brunhilda’s words are based on a global perspective.
  2. It assumes the truth of what it sets out to prove.
    - The truth of what Siegfried said is actually true only from his family experience. This does not prove that he will be correct on a global stage. So it is not correct.
  3. It offers an example that is not inconsistent with Brunhilda's argument.
    - The language used in C may make us think C is correct, but it's not. Actually, Siegfried opposed what Brunhilda mentioned because he said "this is simply untrue". However, C is actually not correct.
  4. It is based an unproven speculation about future events.
    - This is simply wrong. Siegfried’s argument is not based on future events, actually he mentioned something in the past. He states about his father and grandfather. Hence, this is also incorrect.
  5. It uses evidence of a correlation to argue the existence of a causal relationship.
    - This can also be judged as incorrect. Siegfried did not oppose to any causal relationship here. This can also be stated as out of context.

Hence, A is the correct answer.

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